[muttfishr]

With the opener a coupla weeks off, now that I have your attention, whats our chances for a good season lookin like?...mutt.

[Ken Jones]

There is supposed to be a LOT of salmon this year, much improved from the past few years.

[black marlin]

Given the way the authorities arrive at the estimated number of salmon, I would expect a lunacy commission to be appointed. However, even if there is a third of the numbers they estimate for this season, it should be awesome, once an angler can find the fish.

We can partially attribute the higher numbers to the DFG and others trucking fish from the hatcheries and dumping them directly into the Bay. That in addition to better ocean conditions and better water resource management (didn't think I'd see that in my lifetime), And I'm loading up on RSKs and lead balls!!!!


Marlin

[clayman]

The PFMC is predicting some HUGE numbers of fall-run Chinook for California this year. 800,000 for the Central Valley, and 1.6 MILLION for the Klamath-Trinity system. The last time we came anywhere close to these numbers is 2002 for the Central Valley (~700,000) and 1984 for the K-T (1.4 million).

PFMC claims they've altered the equations they use to predict run sizes to be more conservative in their estimates. Using the old model, they would've predicted 2.1 million adults returning to the K-T (uh huh...).

Now I'm one of those folks who remains very, very skeptical of the PFMC's estimates. But even if these estimates are waaaay off this year, the runs should still be the strongest we've seen in several years. You'd figure if the runs of 3- and 4-year-olds were going to be so enormous this year, that ocean anglers must've been catching TONS of shaker salmon during the 2011 season. Did this occur? Were there tons of shakers being caught in 2011?

[bigunindaboat]

[csmerril]

Out here on the Central Coast alot of the ball bouncers are hooking up with Salmon, so if they stick around it should be a good year. The water is pretty clear and green as of now. We need the dirty brown for Salmon but lets hope we even get a season!

[Sin_Coast]

Ironic the big return of salmon will coincide with the lowest & warmest water river conditions. The sky will fall again in 4yrs...watch.

[IRPescador]

2012 Ocean Salmon Season Flyer = http://nrm.dfg.ca.gov/FileHandler.ashx?DocumentID=43803&inline=true

[muttfishr]

Yea! Im hope'in! On my "last trip of the year Dec29th" rockcod trip, a guy on the boat hooked about a 15Lb'er. The deckhand almost went overboard tryin to unhook it without bringing it onboard, got it done tho, and no harm to the fish, if Port San-Luis starts gettin them come season time, I just might have to go out on a patroit sport boat, Who's up for puttin a trip togeather? Give me a holler (pm)...mutt.